Business
Ghana’s Producer Inflation Falls to 19-Month Low at 5.9% Amid Broad-Based Price Drops
Ghana’s Producer Price Inflation (PPI) has plunged to 5.9% in June 2025—the lowest year-on-year rate recorded since November 2023, according to the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS).
This marks a significant 4.2 percentage point decline from the 10.1% recorded in May and a sharp 19.7-point drop from the 25.6% registered in June 2024. It is also the fifth consecutive month of declining producer inflation, indicating consistent easing across several major production sectors.
On a monthly basis, the PPI saw a deflation of 1.4%, meaning producers, on average, received lower prices for their goods and services in June compared to May.
Releasing the data in Accra on Wednesday, July 16, Government Statistician Dr. Alhassan Iddrisu attributed the decline to ongoing price reductions in key sectors such as mining, manufacturing, transport, and hospitality.
“Our data confirms a steady fall in producer inflation, driven largely by lower input costs in high-weight sectors like mining and manufacturing,” Dr. Iddrisu said.
The Mining and Quarrying sector—which holds the largest weight in the PPI basket at 43.7%—saw inflation fall sharply from 13.7% in May to 6.5% in June. The Manufacturing sector, which accounts for 35% of the index, also dropped from 9.8% to 7.6%.
Other sectors saw even more dramatic shifts. Inflation in the transport sector dropped deeper into negative territory, from -4.8% to -7.0%, while the hotel and restaurant category experienced a notable turnaround—from a 6.5% rise in May to a 2.7% fall in June, a swing of 9.2 percentage points.
The Services sector recorded a modest year-on-year inflation of 0.7%, while construction posted a 6.0% increase.
Within subsectors, mining support services topped the inflation chart at 56.1%, while crude oil and natural gas extraction experienced a steep deflation of -25.1%. In manufacturing, vehicle production led with 35.8% inflation, followed by leather goods at 32.4%. Conversely, petroleum refining saw a 10.6% drop in prices.
Dr. Iddrisu advised businesses to adjust strategically. “Falling input costs can create room for innovation, but companies must be cautious about shrinking profit margins,” he said.
He urged government to focus on sustaining macroeconomic stability, incentivizing production, and supporting key sectors to maintain the downward inflation trend and safeguard employment.
The GSS also encouraged consumers to be discerning in their spending. “Shop smart, question price hikes, and reward brands that reflect cost reductions,” the report advised.
If producer cost trends persist, consumers may soon experience a welcome reduction in retail prices—provided businesses pass on the savings.
The PPI report tracks changes in prices received by producers across key economic sectors, excluding consumer taxes and intermediary costs. The current index is based on data from March 2020 to February 2021.
Finance Minister Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson has revealed that the much-touted “Gold for Oil” policy under the previous government was not a true barter arrangement as publicly claimed.
Speaking on JoyNews’ PM Express, Dr. Forson dismissed the policy as a facade, stating that the Bank of Ghana (BoG) simply paid suppliers in dollars—contrary to the narrative that Ghana exchanged gold directly for petroleum products.
“It didn’t work properly. The Bank of Ghana was paying in cash—dollars—not gold. There was never any gold-for-oil barter. Never,” he emphasized in a direct response to host Evans Mensah.
The former administration had promoted the policy as a groundbreaking solution to stabilize the cedi by reducing demand for foreign exchange. However, Dr. Forson said the reality was far less innovative.
He explained that a supplier based in the United Arab Emirates provided fuel through the Chamber of Bulk Oil Distributors (CBOD). The CBOD paid in cedis, and the BoG converted that into dollars to complete the transaction. “Pure trade. Nothing like the barter they portrayed,” he said.
Confirming with BoG officials, Dr. Forson noted that although the central bank had been increasing its gold reserves, it had no direct link to the oil purchases.
Member companies of the Ghana Chamber of Mines sold a total of 358,218 ounces of gold to the Bank of Ghana (BoG) in 2024 under the Domestic Gold Purchase Programme, significantly boosting the central bank’s reserves and contributing to the strengthening of the Ghanaian cedi against the US dollar.
Speaking at a press briefing, the Chief Executive Officer of the Chamber, Ing. Dr. Kenneth Ashigbey, emphasized the mining sector’s ongoing commitment to stabilizing the national currency.
“The current strength of the cedi is largely anchored on gold,” he said. “As an industry, we remain committed to this cause. Through our partnership with the Bank of Ghana, we supplied over 358,000 ounces of gold last year under the Domestic Gold Purchase Programme.”
Dr. Ashigbey also highlighted the sector’s participation in the Voluntary Forex and Gold Purchase Initiative, which he noted has further strengthened the Bank of Ghana’s reserve position.
“It’s essential to recognize how these collaborative efforts between the mining sector and the BoG are helping both the national economy and the sustainability of our industry,” he added.
Ghana’s gold reserves have soared to 32.99 tonnes as of June 2025, marking a significant milestone in the Bank of Ghana’s ongoing strategy to strengthen the country’s financial resilience and diversify its foreign reserves.
Fresh data from the central bank reveals a steady month-on-month increase — up from 31.37 tonnes in April and 32.16 tonnes in May. This growth represents a dramatic leap from the 8.78 tonnes recorded in May 2023, nearly quadrupling in just over a year.
The upward trend underscores the Bank of Ghana’s commitment to increasing its gold holdings as part of a broader move to reduce dependency on traditional foreign currencies, especially the U.S. dollar.
As the continent’s top gold producer, Ghana has also intensified efforts to formalise its small-scale mining sector. This initiative aims to retain more domestically mined gold for national use, supporting long-term economic development.
Ghana’s gold accumulation strategy aligns with a global trend among central banks, many of which are turning to gold as a hedge against currency volatility and rising geopolitical uncertainties.
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