Business
Global growth to slow to 2.8% from 3.3% in 2025 — IMF warns

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has sharply downgraded its global growth forecast, projecting the world economy to expand by just 2.8% in 2025, a significant drop from the 3.3% forecast made in January.
This update is contained in the published IMF’s April 2025 World Economic Outlook (WEO), which cites escalating trade tensions with the United States announcing a wave of new tariffs with trading partners responding with their own countermeasures, creating ripple effects across global supply chains and investor sentiment.
It also cites mounting policy uncertainty as the main culprits behind the slowdown.
“Since the release of the January 2025 WEO Update, a series of new tariff measures by the United States and countermeasures by its trading partners have been announced and implemented, ending up in near-universal US tariffs on April 2 and bringing effective tariff rates to levels not seen in a century.
“This on its own is a major negative shock to growth. The unpredictability with which these measures have been unfolding also has a negative impact on economic activity and the outlook and, at the same time, makes it more difficult than usual to make assumptions that would constitute a basis for an internally consistent and timely set of projections.
“Given the complexity and fluidity of the current moment, this report presents a “reference forecast” based on information available as of April 4, 2025 (including the April 2 tariffs and initial responses), in lieu of the usual baseline. This is complemented with a range of global growth forecasts, primarily under different trade policy assumptions.
“The swift escalation of trade tensions and extremely high levels of policy uncertainty are expected to have a significant impact on global economic activity. Under the reference forecast that incorporates information as of April 4, global growth is projected to drop to 2.8 percent in 2025 and 3 percent in 2026—down from 3.3 percent for both years in the January 2025 WEO Update, corresponding to a cumulative downgrade of 0.8 percentage point, and much below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.7 percent,” part of the report read.
In advanced economies, growth is now expected to slow to 1.4% in 2025, with the U.S. economy seeing a notable downgrade—now projected at 1.8%, nearly a full percentage point below previous estimates.
In emerging market and developing economies, growth is expected to slow down to 3.7 percent in 2025 and 3.9 percent in 2026, with significant downgrades for countries affected most by recent trade measures, such as China. Global headline inflation is expected to decline at a pace that is slightly slower than what was expected in January, reaching 4.3 percent in 2025 and 3.6 percent in 2026, with notable upward revisions for advanced economies and slight downward revisions for emerging market and developing economies in 2025.
The IMF flagged intensifying downside risks, warning that a deeper trade war, rising financial instability, and fragile policy buffers could worsen the economic landscape. Vulnerable emerging markets could face capital flight, currency pressures, and increasing debt burdens.
The Fund also noted that a reversal or de-escalation of current trade policies could offer a reprieve and potentially revive global growth.
“Intensifying downside risks dominate the outlook. Ratcheting up a trade war, along with even more elevated trade policy uncertainty, could further reduce near- and long-term growth, while eroded policy buffers weaken resilience to future shocks. Divergent and rapidly shifting policy stances or deteriorating sentiment could trigger additional repricing of assets beyond what took place after the announcement of sweeping US tariffs on April 2 and sharp adjustments in foreign exchange rates and capital flows, especially for economies already facing debt distress.
“Broader financial instability may ensue, including damage to the international monetary system. Demographic shifts and a shrinking foreign labor force may curb potential growth and threaten fiscal sustainability. The lingering effects of the recent cost-of-living crisis, coupled with depleted policy space and dim medium-term growth prospects, could reignite social unrest. The resilience shown by many large emerging market economies may be tested as servicing high debt levels becomes more challenging in unfavorable global financial conditions.
“More limited international development assistance may increase the pressure on low-income countries, pushing them deeper into debt or necessitating significant fiscal adjustments, with immediate consequences for growth and living standards. On the upside, a deescalation from current tariff rates and new agreements providing clarity and stability in trade policies could lift global growth,” it added.
The report calls for coordinated policy action, urging nations to work together to restore predictability in trade, strengthen debt sustainability, and address long-term structural challenges like demographic shifts and migration.
Source: Citi Newsroom
Banking and Finance
BoG Governor Dr. Johnson Asiama: No Pressure to Reinstate Revoked Bank Licences Without Due Process

Governor of the Bank of Ghana (BoG), Dr. Johnson Asiama, has affirmed that he is under no pressure to unilaterally reinstate the licences of banks whose operations were terminated during the country’s banking sector cleanup.
Addressing journalists at the 125th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) press conference held in Accra on Wednesday, July 30, Dr. Asiama responded to a question from Citi Business News’ Nerteley Nettey Adjaho, stressing that any potential reinstatement must adhere strictly to legal and institutional protocols.
“Not at all,” Dr. Asiama stated in response to whether he felt pressured to restore licences. He emphasized that such decisions fall beyond the discretion of the Governor and must be guided by legal rulings and the approval of the Bank’s Board of Directors.
“Remember, the resolution framework is still in effect. When I assumed office, substantial progress had already been made. Some of the cases are currently in court, while others are going through settlement procedures. The process is ongoing, and we are committed to following it accordingly,” he noted.
Dr. Asiama further elaborated on the steps required for any potential reinstatement:
“If, for instance, a court issues a directive, the Board of the Bank of Ghana would review and act accordingly. However, from my position as Governor, there is absolutely no pressure to restore any licence unilaterally.”
This clarification comes in the wake of a political promise made by former President John Dramani Mahama during the 2024 general election campaign. In his acceptance speech at the University of Development Studies on May 15, 2024, after securing the National Democratic Congress (NDC) presidential nomination, Mr. Mahama pledged to enhance local participation across key sectors including banking, telecommunications, tourism, mining, agriculture, and manufacturing as part of efforts to grow the economy and create sustainable jobs for the youth.
The banking sector cleanup, launched in 2017, was aimed at sanitizing and stabilizing Ghana’s financial system. As part of the reform, the central bank raised the minimum paid-up capital requirement for commercial banks from GHS120 million to GHS400 million. This regulatory adjustment led to the collapse or consolidation of several financial institutions that failed to meet the new capital threshold.
In total, the Bank of Ghana revoked the licences of nine local banks, 23 savings and loans companies, 347 microfinance institutions, 39 finance houses, and 53 fund management firms.
Among the collapsed banks were UniBank, The Sovereign Bank, The Beige Bank, Premium Bank, The Royal Bank, Heritage Bank, Construction Bank, UT Bank, and Capital Bank.
While the central bank defended the move as essential to restoring confidence and resilience in the financial sector, critics argued that several of the affected institutions could have been restructured or supported to preserve jobs and maintain indigenous ownership within the sector.
Banking and Finance
Ato Forson Exposes ‘Gold-for-Oil’ as a Sham: No Gold Was Ever Traded for Fuel

Finance Minister Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson has revealed that the much-touted “Gold for Oil” policy under the previous government was not a true barter arrangement as publicly claimed.
Speaking on JoyNews’ PM Express, Dr. Forson dismissed the policy as a facade, stating that the Bank of Ghana (BoG) simply paid suppliers in dollars—contrary to the narrative that Ghana exchanged gold directly for petroleum products.
“It didn’t work properly. The Bank of Ghana was paying in cash—dollars—not gold. There was never any gold-for-oil barter. Never,” he emphasized in a direct response to host Evans Mensah.
The former administration had promoted the policy as a groundbreaking solution to stabilize the cedi by reducing demand for foreign exchange. However, Dr. Forson said the reality was far less innovative.
He explained that a supplier based in the United Arab Emirates provided fuel through the Chamber of Bulk Oil Distributors (CBOD). The CBOD paid in cedis, and the BoG converted that into dollars to complete the transaction. “Pure trade. Nothing like the barter they portrayed,” he said.
Confirming with BoG officials, Dr. Forson noted that although the central bank had been increasing its gold reserves, it had no direct link to the oil purchases.
Business
Gold Sales to BoG Bolster Cedi: Mining Firms Sell Over 358,000 Ounces in 2024

Member companies of the Ghana Chamber of Mines sold a total of 358,218 ounces of gold to the Bank of Ghana (BoG) in 2024 under the Domestic Gold Purchase Programme, significantly boosting the central bank’s reserves and contributing to the strengthening of the Ghanaian cedi against the US dollar.
Speaking at a press briefing, the Chief Executive Officer of the Chamber, Ing. Dr. Kenneth Ashigbey, emphasized the mining sector’s ongoing commitment to stabilizing the national currency.
“The current strength of the cedi is largely anchored on gold,” he said. “As an industry, we remain committed to this cause. Through our partnership with the Bank of Ghana, we supplied over 358,000 ounces of gold last year under the Domestic Gold Purchase Programme.”
Dr. Ashigbey also highlighted the sector’s participation in the Voluntary Forex and Gold Purchase Initiative, which he noted has further strengthened the Bank of Ghana’s reserve position.
“It’s essential to recognize how these collaborative efforts between the mining sector and the BoG are helping both the national economy and the sustainability of our industry,” he added.
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