Survey Projects Kennedy Agyapong as Frontrunner in NPP Presidential Primaries

A fresh survey by a team of academic researchers has ranked former Assin Central MP, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, ahead of his contenders in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) upcoming presidential primaries.

The poll, led by Dr. Evans Duah, suggests that Mr. Agyapong could secure between 41% and 52% of delegate support, depending on turnout and the behavior of undecided voters.

Conducted between August 15 and 31, 2025, the study engaged 20,356 delegates—representing about 10% of the party’s 203,562 registered delegates. Using proportional projections, researchers estimate that Mr. Agyapong could capture as many as 104,807 votes nationwide in a best-case scenario. This would give him a significant lead over Vice-President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, who polled between 31% and 39%.

The regional analysis showed Mr. Agyapong performing strongly in the Central, Greater Accra, Volta, and Ashanti regions, while Dr. Bawumia maintained dominance in the Northern, North East, and Upper West regions. Dr. Bryan Acheampong registered 9–11% nationally, maintaining a base in the Eastern Region, with Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyepong trailing at marginal levels.

“Since the South accounts for more than 40% of the delegates, Kennedy Agyapong enjoys a structural advantage,” Dr. Duah explained.

However, the researchers stressed that the findings were “indicative, not predictive.” Dr. Duah further noted the limitations of the study, citing a 25% non-response rate and the potential for shifts in delegate sentiment as the primaries draw closer.

“Our analysis shows Kennedy Agyapong leading in all scenarios, but outcomes remain subject to campaign dynamics and last-minute alignments,” he cautioned.