Connect with us

Business

BoG Opts for Steady Rates While Inflation Continues to Fall

Published

on

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of Ghana is set to make a crucial decision on the country’s benchmark interest rate at its 124th meeting. In a cautious approach, the committee is expected to hold steady at 28 per cent, opting for prudence over hasty rate cuts.

According to GCB Capital’s Economic and Market Insight analysis, this measured stance will allow the MPC to closely monitor the economy’s progress, particularly with headline inflation currently below 20 per cent.

As the economic landscape continues to evolve, the MPC may signal a potential gradual rate reduction by the third quarter of 2025, contingent on sustained disinflation trends, currency stability, and fiscal discipline.

A rate cut in Q3 2025 could provide a much-needed boost to the economy, but it hinges on the Bank of Ghana’s ability to maintain a delicate balance between growth and inflation control. With fiscal policy and foreign exchange markets playing a critical role, the MPC’s decision will be closely watched by stakeholders and market analysts alike.

However, potential upside risks such as rising fuel prices, depreciation of the cedi or trade tensions could postpone any easing. Conversely, a more rapid disinflation could accelerate this timeline.

Nonetheless, if a rate-cutting cycle does occur, nominal interest rates are likely to decline, which would lower borrowing costs and potentially stimulate economic activity.

However, caution is warranted as any premature easing of policy could trigger a resurgence of inflation, jeopardising the recent progress in price stability.

Headline inflation

Headline inflation has been steadily declining since its peak, with the April figure of 21.2 per cent indicating progress, yet it remains significantly above the central bank’s target range of 8±2 per cent.

The current policy rate of 28 per cent continues to exceed inflation, demonstrating the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) commitment to anchoring expectations.

However, with the real policy rate of 28 per cent compared to the 21.2 per cent inflation has reduced the urgency for further tightening.

The continued decline in inflation to 21.2 per cent, the fourth consecutive monthly drop, signals a gradual easing of inflationary pressures.

However, with the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) elevated at 28 per cent, the policy stance remains tight to anchor inflation expectations.

Treasury yields, currently ranging between 15.23 per cent and 16.95 per cent (Tender 1953), remain deeply negative in real terms, creating disincentives for holding government securities.

Fiscal consolidation efforts have further motivated the Ministry of Finance to suppress borrowing costs, resulting in limited upside for treasury yields despite the high policy rate.

In the fixed income market, the low real returns on government securities continue to dampen investor appetite.

As Ghana lacks inflation-indexed bonds, investors are increasingly shifting towards higher-yielding corporate debt, bank securities and short- to medium-term assets that provide better liquidity and potential for reinvestment at higher rates if inflation moderates further.

The equity market presents selective opportunities as macroeconomic stabilisation improves investor sentiment.

Banking stocks continue to perform well, benefiting from improved net interest margins and lower impairments, while other listed sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, and telecoms stand to gain from easing cost pressures and a stabilising cedi.

Ghana cedi

On the currency front, the cedi has shown strong performance, emerging as the best-performing currency globally in May.

This appreciation is supported by a disciplined fiscal outlook, investor confidence and structural measures, including the newly passed Act establishing GOLDBOD and foreign exchange initiatives by the Bank of Ghana.

These interventions are expected to provide short- to medium-term stability to the currency and ease demand-side pressures on foreign exchange markets.

In the commodities space, price stability in locally produced foods and non-food baskets and agricultural imports may continue as global commodity markets adjust, and local currency strength reduces pass-through effects.

However, external shocks, trade tensions and global supply chain risks still present a level of unpredictability that investors must factor into their outlook.

Given the current macro and market dynamics, investors should consider repositioning toward short to medium-duration fixed income instruments, high-quality corporate bonds and equities with strong fundamentals in sectors benefiting from disinflation and exchange rate stability.

Holding moderate commodity exposure, particularly to gold, may provide a hedge against volatility. Meanwhile, given the cedi’s strengthening trajectory and policy support, dollar hoarding may be reduced in appeal, but maintaining a balanced exposure to foreign currency assets could still serve as insurance against future shocks

Source: Graphic online

Business

Sachet Water Packaging Manufacturers Seek Government Relief Amid Rising Costs

Published

on

Manufacturers of sachet water packaging materials have called on the government to provide urgent support to sustain the industry, after deciding to maintain current prices despite escalating production costs.

The appeal was made by President of the Ghana Plastic Manufacturers’ Association, Ebbo Botwe, during a press conference held in Accra on Wednesday, April 8, 2026.

Mr. Botwe disclosed that producers had initially considered increasing prices due to the rising cost of polymers used in manufacturing sachet packaging. However, the association resolved to hold prices steady in recognition of sachet water as an essential commodity relied upon by millions of Ghanaians.

“We are incurring losses by maintaining the old prices, but given that sachet water is a basic necessity for over 33 million Ghanaians, we have chosen to absorb the shock in the national interest,” he stated.

He added that the decision to maintain current prices would remain in effect for at least one to two months, despite mounting financial pressure on manufacturers.

Mr. Botwe expressed hope that the Minister for Trade, Agribusiness and Industry would relay the industry’s concerns to the President, with a view to securing relief measures to cushion producers.

The association further indicated that the move is expected to ease pressure on sachet water producers and help stabilise prices for consumers in the short term.

Continue Reading

Business

MTN Ghana Executives Awarded Shares Worth Millions Under Performance Incentive Scheme

Published

on

The Chief Executive Officer of MTN Ghana, Stephen Blewett, has been awarded 21,382 shares in MTN Group valued at approximately R4.12 million (US$252,000), under the company’s Performance Share Plan 2010.

In the same scheme, Chief Financial Officer Antoinette Kwofie received 13,660 shares worth about R2.63 million (US$160,000). Both executives serve as directors of Scancom Ghana PLC, the operator of MTN’s business in Ghana.

According to a group announcement issued on April 7, 2026, the share awards were transacted on March 31, 2026, at a market price of R192.50 per share. The incentives are subject to performance conditions and will vest over a three-year period.

Also benefiting locally, Sugentharen Perumal, a director of Scancom Ghana PLC, received 35,436 shares valued at approximately R6.82 million (US$415,000).

Broader Group Awards

Across the wider group, senior executives received significantly larger allocations under the same long-term incentive scheme.

MTN Group President and CEO Ralph Mupita was awarded 207,633 shares valued at about R39.97 million (US$2.43 million), the largest allocation disclosed. Group Chief Financial Officer Tsholofelo Molefe received 111,931 shares worth approximately R21.55 million (US$1.31 million).

Senior Vice President for Markets, Ebenezer Asante, was granted 120,880 shares valued at R23.27 million (US$1.42 million).

Other beneficiaries include Ferdinand Moolman, who received shares worth R20.13 million, as well as Paul Norman and Yolanda Cuba, whose allocations were valued at R10.84 million and R12.07 million respectively.

Vesting Terms and Compliance

MTN indicated that all recipients have met the company’s Minimum Shareholding Requirements. The awards, classified as off-market share allocations, will vest on December 10, 2028—an accelerated timeline aligned with the original grant date of December 10, 2025.

The company noted that all beneficiaries hold direct beneficial interests in the shares.

The announcement was published via the Johannesburg Stock Exchange News Service, with Tamela Holdings Proprietary Limited serving as lead sponsor and J.P. Morgan Equities Proprietary Limited acting as joint sponsor.

Continue Reading

Business

Mahama Upholds Competence Over Politics in Ghana’s “Big Push” Road Programme

Published

on

Kwahu, April 4, 2026 – President John Dramani Mahama has affirmed that political affiliation will not influence contract awards under his government’s flagship road rehabilitation initiative, the “Big Push.”

Speaking at the Kwahu Easter Business Forum at the Kwahu Convention Centre, the President said he resisted pressure from within his own National Democratic Congress (NDC) support base to exclude contractors perceived to be aligned with the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP).

“Don’t they have the capacity to do the job?” President Mahama asked, emphasizing that technical and financial competence—not political loyalty—remains the overriding criterion for project awards.

He added: “They have the equipment. They employ Ghanaians. Anybody who has the capacity to move the project should be given it. For me, it is not about who does the project. The credit is that at the end of my term of office, I was able to repair all those roads.”

The President described the Big Push initiative as a major national road rehabilitation programme expected to cover more than 2,000 kilometres of roads across Ghana. He warned that the politicisation of business has historically hampered private sector growth, particularly during government transitions.

“Many companies start and because Ghana is a democratic country, potentially every eight years there is a changeover in government. Often, if a business is seen to be associated with one party or another, victimisation begins,” he said.

President Mahama also advised entrepreneurs against building businesses solely around government contracts, noting that such models leave firms vulnerable to political shifts.

The issue of political neutrality in business was echoed by Minority Leader Alexander Afenyo-Markin, through remarks delivered by MP Jerry Ahmed Shaib, who warned that politicising local enterprises undermines competitiveness, stifles innovation, and benefits foreign firms at the expense of indigenous businesses.

Now in its third edition, the Kwahu Easter Business Forum was established by President Mahama and Chief of Staff Julius Debrah to foster dialogue on private sector growth and investment, bringing together entrepreneurs, bankers, heads of state-owned enterprises, and senior officials to strategize on expanding Ghana’s business landscape.

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2026 KPDOnline. Powered by AfricaBusinessFile