Business
BoG Opts for Steady Rates While Inflation Continues to Fall
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of Ghana is set to make a crucial decision on the country’s benchmark interest rate at its 124th meeting. In a cautious approach, the committee is expected to hold steady at 28 per cent, opting for prudence over hasty rate cuts.
According to GCB Capital’s Economic and Market Insight analysis, this measured stance will allow the MPC to closely monitor the economy’s progress, particularly with headline inflation currently below 20 per cent.
As the economic landscape continues to evolve, the MPC may signal a potential gradual rate reduction by the third quarter of 2025, contingent on sustained disinflation trends, currency stability, and fiscal discipline.
A rate cut in Q3 2025 could provide a much-needed boost to the economy, but it hinges on the Bank of Ghana’s ability to maintain a delicate balance between growth and inflation control. With fiscal policy and foreign exchange markets playing a critical role, the MPC’s decision will be closely watched by stakeholders and market analysts alike.
However, potential upside risks such as rising fuel prices, depreciation of the cedi or trade tensions could postpone any easing. Conversely, a more rapid disinflation could accelerate this timeline.
Nonetheless, if a rate-cutting cycle does occur, nominal interest rates are likely to decline, which would lower borrowing costs and potentially stimulate economic activity.
However, caution is warranted as any premature easing of policy could trigger a resurgence of inflation, jeopardising the recent progress in price stability.
Headline inflation
Headline inflation has been steadily declining since its peak, with the April figure of 21.2 per cent indicating progress, yet it remains significantly above the central bank’s target range of 8±2 per cent.
The current policy rate of 28 per cent continues to exceed inflation, demonstrating the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) commitment to anchoring expectations.
However, with the real policy rate of 28 per cent compared to the 21.2 per cent inflation has reduced the urgency for further tightening.
The continued decline in inflation to 21.2 per cent, the fourth consecutive monthly drop, signals a gradual easing of inflationary pressures.
However, with the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) elevated at 28 per cent, the policy stance remains tight to anchor inflation expectations.
Treasury yields, currently ranging between 15.23 per cent and 16.95 per cent (Tender 1953), remain deeply negative in real terms, creating disincentives for holding government securities.
Fiscal consolidation efforts have further motivated the Ministry of Finance to suppress borrowing costs, resulting in limited upside for treasury yields despite the high policy rate.
In the fixed income market, the low real returns on government securities continue to dampen investor appetite.
As Ghana lacks inflation-indexed bonds, investors are increasingly shifting towards higher-yielding corporate debt, bank securities and short- to medium-term assets that provide better liquidity and potential for reinvestment at higher rates if inflation moderates further.
The equity market presents selective opportunities as macroeconomic stabilisation improves investor sentiment.
Banking stocks continue to perform well, benefiting from improved net interest margins and lower impairments, while other listed sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, and telecoms stand to gain from easing cost pressures and a stabilising cedi.
Ghana cedi
On the currency front, the cedi has shown strong performance, emerging as the best-performing currency globally in May.
This appreciation is supported by a disciplined fiscal outlook, investor confidence and structural measures, including the newly passed Act establishing GOLDBOD and foreign exchange initiatives by the Bank of Ghana.
These interventions are expected to provide short- to medium-term stability to the currency and ease demand-side pressures on foreign exchange markets.
In the commodities space, price stability in locally produced foods and non-food baskets and agricultural imports may continue as global commodity markets adjust, and local currency strength reduces pass-through effects.
However, external shocks, trade tensions and global supply chain risks still present a level of unpredictability that investors must factor into their outlook.
Given the current macro and market dynamics, investors should consider repositioning toward short to medium-duration fixed income instruments, high-quality corporate bonds and equities with strong fundamentals in sectors benefiting from disinflation and exchange rate stability.
Holding moderate commodity exposure, particularly to gold, may provide a hedge against volatility. Meanwhile, given the cedi’s strengthening trajectory and policy support, dollar hoarding may be reduced in appeal, but maintaining a balanced exposure to foreign currency assets could still serve as insurance against future shocks
Source: Graphic online
Business
24-Hour Economy Authority Secures Over $8 Billion in Investment Agreements in 90 Days
The Ghana 24-Hour Economy Authority has announced that it has secured bankable investment agreements worth more than $8 billion within the last 90 days, a development officials say demonstrates growing investor confidence in the government’s flagship 24-Hour Economy initiative.
The disclosure was made by the Chief Export Development Officer of the Ghana 24-Hour Economy Authority, Gabriel Opoku-Asare, during a roundtable discussion on the theme, “Unlocking Africa’s Single Market: How Can Ghanaian Businesses Win Under AfCFTA?” on Channel One TV as part of the Citi Business Festival held on Thursday, June 11, 2026.
According to Mr. Opoku-Asare, the agreements underscore the government’s commitment to attracting private sector investment to drive the implementation of the 24-Hour Economy agenda, rather than relying extensively on public funding.
He explained that the strategy is designed to reduce pressure on the country’s public finances while accelerating industrial growth and the development of strategic economic corridors across Ghana.
“We are enabling private capital in the development of all the projects we are talking about and the economic corridors we are building. Once private capital comes in, our work is coordination and enabling investment, so it is not sitting on sovereign debt. That is very important to ensure permanence in the long term,” he stated.
Mr. Opoku-Asare noted that the Authority is increasingly focusing on facilitating and coordinating private investments instead of directly financing projects with government resources, a move he believes will enhance the long-term sustainability of the programme.
He further emphasised that the signing of investment agreements exceeding $8 billion within a relatively short period highlights strong investor interest and confidence in the direction of the 24-Hour Economy programme.
“I’ve spoken about, in the last 90 days, all the bankable agreements that we’ve signed already, which is like over $8 billion,” he added.
Business
BoG Halts Proposed Charges on MoMo-to-Bank Transfers
The Bank of Ghana has directed Mobile Money Fintech Limited to suspend its planned 0.75 per cent charge on direct mobile money wallet-to-bank account transfers.
The proposed fee, which was expected to take effect from June 1, 2026, has been put on hold to allow for further stakeholder consultations, the central bank announced on Tuesday, May 26.
The directive follows a notice issued by MTN Ghana on Monday, May 25, informing customers that transfers from MoMo wallets to bank accounts would attract a 0.75 per cent fee per transaction, capped at GH₵5.
Under the proposed arrangement, customers would have been charged even when transferring funds from their own registered MoMo wallet to their personal bank account — a service that has so far been offered free of charge.
In a statement, the Bank of Ghana explained that the suspension forms part of efforts to ensure that any adjustments to charges within the mobile financial services space are implemented in a fair and transparent manner, while safeguarding consumer interests and financial well-being.
For the time being, customers will continue to enjoy free transfers from MoMo wallets to bank accounts, as the proposed charges remain suspended.
The central bank further clarified that existing charges on MoMo wallet-to-wallet transfers, as well as cash-in and cash-out transactions at agent points, remain unchanged.
MTN Ghana is yet to officially respond to the Bank of Ghana’s directive.
Business
MTN Ghana Introduces Charges on MoMo-to-Bank Transfers from June 1
MTN Ghana has announced that Mobile Money users will begin paying charges for transfers from their MoMo wallets to bank accounts effective June 1, 2026, ending years of free transfers for customers moving funds between their own accounts.
In a text message sent to subscribers on Monday evening, May 25, the telecommunications company disclosed that all MoMo-to-bank transfers will now attract a fee of 0.75 per cent per transaction, capped at GH₵5.
Under the new pricing structure, customers transferring GH₵100 from their MoMo wallet to a bank account will pay 75 pesewas, while transfers of GH₵667 and above will attract the maximum charge of GH₵5.
The fee will apply to all bank transfers, including transactions involving bank accounts belonging to the same individual who owns the MoMo wallet. Previously, MTN customers enjoyed free transfers when moving funds between their personally registered MoMo wallets and bank accounts.
According to the company, the move forms part of efforts to improve service delivery to its growing customer base.
“From 1 June 2026, transfers from your MoMo Wallet to bank accounts will attract a fee of 0.75% per transaction, capped at GH₵5. This will help us continue to serve you better. Thank you for choosing MoMo,” the message to customers stated.
The development marks a significant change in MTN Ghana’s mobile financial service charges, particularly for customers who frequently transfer money from MoMo wallets into bank accounts for business and personal transactions.
However, the company clarified that the new charge applies only to transfers from MoMo wallets to bank accounts. Existing charges for MoMo-to-MoMo transfers, as well as cash-in and cash-out transactions at agent points, remain unchanged.
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