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Ghana Cedi Tops Global Currency Rankings in April, Easing Inflation

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The Ghanaian cedi has emerged as the world’s top-performing currency this month, appreciating nearly 16% against the US dollar since early April, according to Bloomberg data. This surge has provided significant relief from inflationary pressures, marking a pivotal moment in the country’s economic recovery efforts.

As of today, the cedi is trading at GH₵13.4 to the dollar—its strongest level in months. The appreciation has helped lower the cost of imports, contributing to a notable drop in consumer prices. Ghana’s consumer price inflation fell to 21.2% in April, down from 22.4% in March, marking the lowest level in eight months. Monthly inflation slowed to 0.8%, driven primarily by reduced import costs.

Government Statistician Alhassan Iddrisu highlighted the impact of the cedi’s strength, noting declines in both food and non-food inflation. Food inflation dipped to 25% from 26.5%, while non-food inflation dropped to 17.9% from 18.7%.

Despite the cedi’s rally, the Bank of Ghana is expected to tread cautiously with monetary policy. Following a surprise 100 basis-point rate hike in March, which pushed the key interest rate to 28%, analysts say the central bank may hold off on further changes until inflation risks—such as rising utility costs—are more clearly under control.

“The cedi’s appreciation has helped, but inflationary threats remain,” said Dr. Agyapomaa Gyeke-Dako, senior lecturer at the University of Ghana Business School.

Mark Bohlund, senior credit analyst at REDD Intelligence, echoed the sentiment, warning that premature rate cuts could reignite inflation. Still, Bank of Ghana Governor Johnson Asiama hinted at potential rate relief later in the year if disinflation persists.

Since September 2021, Ghana’s inflation has remained above the central bank’s 6–10% target band, spurred by a debt crisis and a steep decline in the cedi. However, the Monetary Policy Committee projects a fall to 16% by the end of 2025, with a return to target by mid-2026.

The IMF, which is supporting Ghana through an economic programme, expressed optimism. “It makes us very confident that inflation is going to go down in the next few months toward the program objectives,” said Stéphane Roudet, IMF Mission Chief to Ghana.

For now, the strengthening cedi stands as both a symbol of resilience and a key instrument in Ghana’s journey toward macroeconomic stability.

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Business

TCDA Cracks Down on Unregulated Palm Oil Imports: Mandatory Licensing Begins July 14

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Starting July 14, 2025, all palm oil importers in Ghana must register and obtain a permit before engaging in any importation activity, the Tree Crop Development Authority (TCDA) has announced.

 

This decisive move, outlined in a statement issued by the Authority, targets imports of Crude Palm Oil (CPO), Crude Palm Olein, and refined Palm Olein (vegetable oil). The new regulation mandates that all actors—including importers, processors, and traders—within the palm oil value chain must comply with the Tree Crops Development Authority Act, 2019 (Act 1010) and Legislative Instrument 2471.

 

According to the TCDA, the unregulated influx of palm oil has disrupted the local market, undermined smallholder farmers, and led to the circulation of substandard products.

 

 “This bold step is to strengthen regulation and streamline operations within Ghana’s vital oil palm sector,” the Authority said. “We aim to enforce quality and safety standards, protect local producers from unfair competition, and enhance investor confidence.”

The new licensing process will be handled at the TCDA Head Office in East Legon-Ajiriganor, Accra (GhanaPost GPS: GD-253-5931). Stakeholders can also reach the Authority via 0303 981790 / 0243 946 154 or info@tcda.gov.gh.

 

Non-compliance will attract sanctions as prescribed by national law, the Authority warned, underscoring its commitment to firm enforcement.

 

In a further push for transparency and accountability, the TCDA revealed plans to publish a comprehensive list of all registered and licensed palm oil stakeholders.

 

Ghana’s oil palm industry is a major pillar of the agricultural economy, employing thousands and supporting domestic agro-processing. The new regulatory framework is expected to position the sector for more sustainable and competitive growth.

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Banking and Finance

BoG Governor Assures Ghanaians of Economic Stability Amid Middle East Tensions

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The Governor of the Bank of Ghana, Dr. Johnson Asiama, has assured Ghanaians that the country’s economy is well-positioned to withstand potential external shocks stemming from the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel in the Middle East.

 

Speaking at the Ghana Association of Banks Industry Thought Leadership Programme, themed “Banking the Last Mile: An Industry-Led Strategy for Accelerating Digital Finance”, Dr. Asiama highlighted that Ghana’s strengthened foreign reserves, improving inflation trends, and sustained fiscal adjustments serve as robust buffers during uncertain global times.

 

He emphasized that the Bank of Ghana is actively monitoring global developments and their possible effects on the domestic economy.

“I wish to assure the public that Ghana’s macroeconomic buffers are stronger today than they have been in recent years,” Dr. Asiama stated.

 

He added that the Bank is also engaging international partners to ensure a proactive response to any arising threats. “The Bank stands ready to take prudent and pre-emptive measures to preserve Ghana’s economic stability and protect the gains we’ve made,” he said.

 

Impact of Middle East Tensions on Oil Prices

Meanwhile, concerns are mounting over the possible rise in fuel prices. Dr. Riverson Oppong, CEO of the Ghana Chamber of Oil Marketing Companies, recently told JOYBUSINESS that crude oil prices on the international market could surge from July 1, 2025, due to the escalating conflict in the Middle East.

 

If this trend continues, it could reverse the steady drop in fuel prices experienced since February 2025. Oil prices have already declined from $78 to about $74 per barrel since June 16.

 

In response to the growing uncertainty, President John Mahama has instructed the Finance and Energy Ministries to implement strategic measures to cushion the economy against possible shocks.

“Despite the work we have done in stabilizing the economy, Ghana is not immune from the shocks of global events,” the President noted.

 

Sources indicate that the government may announce specific interventions ahead of the upcoming Mid-Year Budget Review, with multiple options currently being considered.

 

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Business

Fuel Prices Set to Drop from June 16 After Levy Suspension

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Ghanaians can expect a drop in fuel prices starting Monday, June 16, 2025, following the government’s decision to suspend the proposed GH¢1.0 Energy Sector Levy. This comes as a relief to consumers and marks the seventh consecutive price reduction since mid-February.

 

The latest Pricing Outlook Report from the Chamber of Oil Marketing Companies (COMAC) indicates that the postponement of the levy is a key factor driving the anticipated price cuts.

 

Projected Prices at the Pump

According to data sourced from oil marketing firms and obtained by Joy Business, the new price of petrol is expected to be around GH¢11.77 per litre — representing a drop between 1.1% and 2.25% from prices recorded on June 1.

Diesel prices are set for a more significant decrease, falling by as much as 4.3% to about GH¢12.13 per litre. Likewise, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) will see a 3.2% dip, bringing the price per kilogram to GH¢13.30.

 

Why Are Prices Falling?

The Chamber attributes the downward trend primarily to the Ghana cedi’s continued appreciation against the US dollar. This currency strength has offset the impact of rising global oil prices, which surged amid renewed conflict in the Middle East.

 

Despite crude oil prices climbing to around $75 per barrel due to Israel’s military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, Ghanaian fuel prices remain stable — for now. The situation, however, remains volatile.

 

Warning Signs for July

Officials at COMAC caution that if global oil prices continue to climb, fuel prices in Ghana could begin to rise again starting July 1, 2025.

 

Recent escalations in the Middle East have already caused oil prices to rise sharply, with Brent crude jumping 4.41% from $65.35 to $68.23 per barrel. These tensions have also prompted the United States to partially evacuate its embassy in Iraq, adding to global uncertainty.

 

As a result, international benchmark prices for petrol and diesel have risen by 1.03% and 3.94% respectively. In contrast, LPG prices dropped by 1.79%.

 

Impact of the Suspended Levy

COMAC’s projections suggest that had the government gone ahead with the additional GH¢1.0 Energy Sector Levy, consumers would have faced significant price hikes. Petrol would have surged by 9.1% per litre and diesel by 8.25%. LPG would have still seen a modest 2.29% decline, as it was not included in the levy’s scope.

 

The current suspension offers temporary relief, but stakeholders warn that sustained global instability may force a reversal of the current trend in the coming weeks.

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